Blog Entry

Keys to the Game: Florida at Auburn

Posted on: October 11, 2011 12:55 pm
Edited on: October 11, 2011 1:45 pm
Posted by Jerry Hinnen

FLORIDA WILL WIN IF: their young secondary can continue to make Auburn's suddenly woebegone passing game as inefficient as it's been the past few weeks. The Tigers ran for 290 yards against Arkansas and it still didn't keep them within three touchdowns of the Razorbacks, thanks to a passing game that completed just 9-of-25 attempts and threw three interceptions without a touchdown. But Barrett Trotter has been much more comfortable at home than on the road -- his QB rating of 160.71 at Jordan-Hare Stadium dwarfs his 88.88 rating elsewhere, albeit against substantially lesser competition -- and the Gators didn't respond well to their first road test last week, allowing LSU quarterbacks to complete 10 of 14 passes for a whopping 15.4 yards an attempt and two scores. Despite starting a true freshman at both corner and safety (and a true sophomore, Matt Elam, at the other safety position), the Gator secondary showed in effective performances against Tennessee and Alabama that they have the potential to keep Trotter and Co. on continued lockdown--if they bounce back from their outing in Baton Rouge and do, Auburn will have a difficult time putting points on the board no matter how well they run.

AUBURN WILL WIN IF: they can keep Jeff Demps and Chris Rainey under wraps. Easier said than done, of course, and as Joe Adams' 93-yard touchdown run for Arkansas showed, the Tigers remain highly vulnerable to giving up the big play on the ground to quick, elusive runners ... like, say, Demps and Rainey. But after some early-season difficulties, the Tiger run defense has improved to the point of adequacy the past two weeks; remove Adams' 93 yards from the equation, and Auburn allowed a combined 3.59 yards per-carry against the Razorbacks and South Carolina. Numbers anything close to that mark will mean Auburn will have shifted a big chunk of the offensive burden
to Jacoby Brissett (or, possibly, Jeff Driskel); judging by the LSU game, that's a burden Brissett isn't yet ready to carry.

THE X-FACTOR: Night games against Florida -- a traditional rival of the Tigers, who thanks to the divisional split now visits only rarely -- have been known to bring out the best (read: loudest, rowdiest) in the Jordan-Hare crowd, as evidenced by the Gators' last visit: 2006, when the cauldron of noise helped Tommy Tuberville engineer an upset of the then No. 1 team in the nation (and the only defeat suffered that season by Urban Meyer's eventual national champions). If a hot Auburn start can get its fans past last week's disappointment and back into the full voice of that 2006 victory, it remains to be seen how the inexperienced Gators will react.


Since: Apr 26, 2008
Posted on: October 11, 2011 3:32 pm

Keys to the Game: Florida at Auburn

And of course I meant the loss at ARK last week

Since: Apr 26, 2008
Posted on: October 11, 2011 3:30 pm

Keys to the Game: Florida at Auburn

Florida is 0-2 against Auburn in the last two times it played.  Tebow is still 0-2 against Auburn.  So this Florida team is no 2006 or a Tebow led team.  Auburn can keep a teams running backs from yardage.... ask Lattimore who got some 60 yards against AU this year and 30 yards last year.  And ask Ingram who got only 40 odd yards against Auburn last times they played Auburn.  Since I am a Florida resident but Auburn alum and fan, this is my Bama game and Super Bowl game.   Auburn will win but being an SEC game you never know.  But Auburn loss at ARK last year will help Auburn win this one.  I can tell you the Auburn D and O are ready to impress.   Auburn will not lose 2 games in a row and not at Auburn for sure. 

Since: Jun 5, 2011
Posted on: October 11, 2011 1:27 pm

Keys to the Game: Florida at Auburn

The real key already happened when Florida AD Jeremy Foley decided to bow to the Brantley clan and build an offense around double-legacy QB John.  They tore apart an offense that brought them two National Championships while playing in the toughest conference in college football for this?  
Florida's ship has sailed.  Will Muschamp is a decent coach, but his upside is to be Ron Zook, v2.  Auburn has one key to victory: stay out of both their own way and Florida's way while waiting for Florida to self-destruct.  Florida will keep this one close: for the first quarter.

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